Simulates whether a conformal method's coverage guarantee survives distribution shift — including a genuine method-shift-type mismatch (a covariate-shift-corrected method fails under label shift and vice versa) and adaptive conformal inference's documented transient overshoot right after shift onset, recovering over subsequent rounds. 180 configs across 6 methods, 3 shift types. Ten sources (2005-2023) including the foundational conformal framework, conformal prediction under covariate shift, adaptive conformal inference, and conformal prediction beyond exchangeability.
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